{ "_id": "6acf91b5e2d863f66295297f", "Package": "foresightr", "Title": "Forecasts Chosen by What Would Have Worked", "Version": "0.1.1", "Authors@R": "c(\nperson(\"André\", \"Leite\", email = \"leite@castlab.org\", role = c(\"aut\", \"cre\"),\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0002-4718-9766\")),\nperson(\"Marcos\", \"Wasiliew\", email = \"marcos.wasiliew@gmail.com\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0009-0004-4694-3159\")),\nperson(\"Hugo\", \"Vasconcelos\", email = \"hugo.vasconcelos@ufpe.br\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0001-6249-0920\")),\nperson(\"Carlos\", \"Amorim\", email = \"carlos.agaf@ufpe.br\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0001-6315-8305\")),\nperson(\"Diogo\", \"Bezerra\", email = \"diogo.bezerra@ufpe.br\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0002-1216-8674\")),\nperson(\"Júlia\", \"Nascimento Barreto\", email = \"juliabarreto@gd.seplag.pe.gov.br\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0009-0004-2851-7770\")),\nperson(\"The authors of the dependency Rust crates\", role = \"ctb\",\ncomment = \"see inst/AUTHORS file for details\"))", "Description": "Time series forecasting that replays the past before\ntrusting a model: a rolling-origin backtest, Tashman (2000)\n, refits every candidate at\neach origin, the choice is made by out-of-sample error, and\nprediction intervals are quantiles of the errors actually\nobserved, for each horizon and for totals of the next periods.\nModels include seasonal ARIMA by exact maximum likelihood with\nautomatic orders, Hyndman and Khandakar (2008)\n; exponential smoothing in state\nspace form, Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose (2002)\n; the Theta method,\nAssimakopoulos and Nikolopoulos (2000)\n; a trend with changepoints\nand events in the manner of Taylor and Letham (2018)\n; TBATS, De Livera, Hyndman\nand Snyder (2011) ;\nseasonal-trend decompositions by LOESS for one or several\nseasonal periods, Bandara, Hyndman and Bergmeir (2021)\n; the method of Croston (1972)\n for intermittent demand; and\nensembles. The computations are done by the 'Rust' crate\n'foresight', bundled with the package.", "License": "MIT + file LICENSE", "URL": "https://github.com/StrategicProjects/foresightr,\nhttps://strategicprojects.github.io/foresightr/", "BugReports": "https://github.com/StrategicProjects/foresightr/issues", "Encoding": "UTF-8", "Roxygen": "list(markdown = TRUE)", "Config/testthat/edition": "3", "SystemRequirements": "Cargo (Rust's package manager), rustc >= 1.81", "VignetteBuilder": "knitr", "Config/rextendr/version": "0.5.0", "Config/roxygen2/version": "8.0.0", "Config/pak/sysreqs": "libclang-dev", "Repository": "https://strategicprojects.r-universe.dev", "Date/Publication": "2026-09-30 18:04:18 UTC", "RemoteUrl": "https://github.com/strategicprojects/foresightr", "RemoteRef": "HEAD", "RemoteSha": "f4d94e4cdb0f001b4372cfecb207bfffb6d4f3b3", "NeedsCompilation": "yes", "Packaged": { "Date": "2026-10-14 14:08:27 UTC", "User": "root" }, "Author": "André Leite [aut, cre] (ORCID: ),\nMarcos 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